Atalanta secured a resounding victory in the last round. Bergamaschi met with the absolute outsider of the championship Monza and from the first minutes went on the attack. De Ketelare scored in the 12th minute, and by the end of the first half the Belgian made a double. In the second half Lucman and Brescianini completed the defeat of the Brienzolli. Before that, Gasperini's wards very unexpectedly shared the points with Lecce (1:1) and beat Milin (0:1) and Atalanta (2:0). With three rounds to go, the Bergamaschi occupy the most favourable position among those fighting for a place in the Champions League zone. Atalanta are in third place with 68 points, five more than their nearest rivals.

Roma are five points behind, but behind Juventus on extra points. The Romans have an extremely difficult calendar, but they are scoring points. In the last round, the Wolves beat Fiorentina 1-0. The only goal was scored by Artyom Dovbik. The Giallorossi beat Inter and Verona in previous matches with the same score.

It is worth noting that the teams have very large deviations in some statistical metrics. Thus, according to xG, Roma should score 7.28 more goals than they have. At the same time, the xGA metric says that Roma should score 11.02 more goals! This is the biggest underdog in terms of expected goals in the league. The "goddess" also has a big "underdog" - 6.49 goals. The last time the Giallorossi didn't score was at the beginning of December last year. Fascinating, but it happened at the Olimpico in a match against Atalanta. Since then, the Romans have excelled in every game, regardless of the tournament. Gasperini's men have scored in each of their last four games. The unexpected series of three defeats seems to have "reset" the team. It is interesting to note that only one of the last ten matches between the rivals in Bergamo did not end with an exchange of goals. It happened in the distant 2017/2018 season. In the past draw, the match on the field of Atalanta ended with a 2:1 victory for the hosts. It is very likely that the teams will find their goal-scoring chances now. It is worth betting on a score exchange.